Mexican Economy
Mexico was the site of some of the earliest and
most advanced civilizations in
the western hemisphere. The Mayan culture,
according to archaeological research,
attained its greatest development about
the 6th century AD. Another group, the
Toltec, established an empire in
the Valley of Mexico and developed a great
civilization still evidenced by
the ruins of magnificent buildings and
monuments. The leading tribe, the
Aztec, built great cities and developed an
intricate social, political, and
religious organization. Their civilization was
highly developed, both
intellectually and artistically. The first European
explorer to visit Mexican
territory was Francisco Fernández de Córdoba, who in
1517 discovered
traces of the Maya in Yucatán. In 1535, some years after the
fall of the
Aztec capital, the basic form of colonial government in Mexico was
instituted
with the appointment of the first Spanish viceroy, Antonio de
Mendoza. A
distinguishing characteristic of colonial Mexico was the exploitation
of the
Native Americans. Although thousands of them were killed during
the
Spanish conquest, they continued to be the great majority of
inhabitants of what
was referred to as New Spain, speaking their own
languages and retaining much of
their native culture. Inevitably they became
the laboring class. Their plight
was the result of the 'encomienda' system,
by which Spanish nobles, priests, and
soldiers were granted not only large
tracts of land but also jurisdiction over
all Native American residents. A
second characteristic of colonial Mexico was
the position and power of the
Roman Catholic church. Franciscan, Augustinian,
Dominican, and Jesuit
missionaries entered the country with the conquistadores.
The Mexican
church became enormously wealthy through gifts and bequests that
could be
held in perpetuity. Before 1859, when church holdings were
nationalized, the
church owned one-third of all property and land. A third
characteristic was
the existence of rigid social classes: the Native Americans,
the mestizos,
mixed Spanish and Native American (an increasingly large group
during the
colonial era), black slaves which were brought from Africa and
the
Caribbean, freed blacks and white Mexicans. The white Mexicans were
themselves
divided. Highest of all classes was that of the peninsulares,
those born in
Spain, as opposed to the criollos, or Creoles—people of
pure European descent
who had been born and raised in New Spain. The
peninsulares were sent from Spain
to hold the highest colonial offices in
both the civil and church
administrations. The peninsulars held themselves
higher than the criollos, who
were almost never given high office. The
resentment of the criollos became an
influential force in the later movement
for independence. In 1808 the viceroy,
under pressure from influential
criollos, permitted them to participate in the
administration. Other
peninsular officials objected and expelled the viceroy. In
the midst of these
factional struggles a political rebellion was begun by the
Mexican
people. Mexico has been rocked by political rebellion during most of
its
entire history in one way or another. Under the various dictatorships
that
Mexico found itself under at times in history, it made tremendous
advances in
economic and commercial development. Many of the new undertakings
were financed
and managed by foreigners (mostly American and European). This
was and continues
to be a major factor in the discontent of most Mexicans.
Moreover, the
government favored the rich owners of large estates, increasing
their properties
by assigning them communal lands that belonged to the Native
Americans. When the
Native Americans revolted, they were sold into
peonage. Discontent, anger and a
spirit of revolt continued to grow
throughout Mexico. Madero was elected
president in 1911, but was not forceful
enough to end the political strife.
Other rebel leaders, particularly
Emiliano Zapata and Francisco (Pancho) Villa,
completely refused to submit to
presidential authority. Victoriano Huerta, head
of the Madero army, conspired
with the rebel leaders and in 1913 seized control
of Mexico City. New armed
revolts under Zapata, Villa, and Venustiano Carranza
began, and Huerta
resigned in 1914. Carranza took power in the same year, and
Villa at once
declared war on him. In addition to the ambitions of rival
military leaders,
intervention by foreign governments seeking to protect the
interests of their
nationals added to the confusion. In August 1915, a
commission representing
eight Latin American countries and the United States
recognized Carranza as
the lawful authority in Mexico. The rebel leaders, except
for Villa, laid
down their arms. The bandit leader incited his forces to commit
crimes
against Americans to show his resentment against the United States and
in
1916 led a raid on Columbus, New Mexico. As a result, an American
force under
General John J. Pershing was sent to Mexico. A new
constitution, enacted in
1917, provided for a labor code, prohibited a
president from serving consecutive
terms, expropriated all property of
religious orders, and restored communal
lands to the Native Americans. Many
provisions dealing with labor and social
welfare were advanced. Some of the
most drastic were intended to curb foreign
ownership of mineral properties
and land. In 1936 an expropriation law was
passed enabling the government to
seize private property whenever necessary for
public or social welfare. The
national railways of Mexico were nationalized in
1937, as were the soil
rights of the oil companies. A government agency called
Petróleos
Mexicanos, or Pemex, was created to administer the nationalized
industry. The
expropriations seriously affected the Mexican oil industry, for it
became
difficult for Mexico to sell oil in U.S., Dutch, and British
territories.
Mexico was forced to arrange barter deals with Italy,
Germany, and Japan. The
oil trade with these nations was interrupted by World
War II. In 1940, the
so-called Good Neighbor Policy of the United States
became dominant in Mexican
politics. This policy involved close cooperation
with the United States in
commercial and military matters. Mexico agreed to
allow the United States Air
Force to use Mexican airfields and also
agreed to export critical and strategic
materials (mostly minerals) only to
countries in the western hemisphere.
Consistent with its policy of
cooperation with the United States, Mexico severed
diplomatic relations with
Japan, Italy and Germany in December 1941. In May
1942, after the sinking
of two Mexican ships by submarines, the Mexican Congress
declared war on
Germany, Italy, and Japan. Later that same year a trade
agreement,
establishing mutual tariff concessions, was negotiated by Mexico and
the
United States. In 1944, Mexico agreed to pay U.S. oil companies $24
million
plus interest, for oil properties expropriated in 1938. In June 1945,
Mexico
became an original member of the United Nations. The government
stabilized the
peso in with the aid of loans from the Treasury of the United
States and the
International Monetary Fund. In 1950, the problem of
Mexican laborers who
entered the United States to seek seasonal farm
employment became a matter of
grave concern to the two governments. Official
agreements between Mexico and the
United States provided for the legal
entry of a specified number of such workers
annually. Approximately 1
million, however, crossed the border illegally every
year. The problem was
further complicated by the demand of the Mexican
government for guarantees
against the exploitation of its citizens by U.S.
employers and by the
hostility of U.S. farm labor organizations toward the
competition of Mexican
migratory laborers willing to work for substandard wages.
In March 1952,
the Congress of the United States passed a bill providing for the
punishment
by fines and imprisonment of those recruiting and employing aliens
who
entered the country illegally. The Mexican economy grew at a healthy
annual
pace during the period from 1970 to 1974, but beginning in 1975 growth
decreased
markedly and inflation rose substantially. In an attempt to reduce
the nation's
foreign-trade deficit, the government in 1976 devalued the peso
by more than 50
percent by changing from a fixed to a freely floating
exchange rate. A
potentially beneficial economic development was the
discovery in 1974 and 1975
of huge crude-petroleum deposits in Campeche,
Chiapas, Tabasco, and Veracruz
states. Oil production more than doubled
during the latter half of the 1970s. By
the mid-1980s a rapid increase in
foreign debt, coupled with falling oil prices,
had plunged the country into
severe financial straits. In 1989, the Salinas
government sped up the
privatization of state-controlled corporations and
modified restrictive trade
and investment regulations to encourage foreign
investment by permitting full
control of corporations by foreign investors. The
current president, Ernesto
Zedillo, is a strong advocate of reform. He has taken
the lead in performing
budget cuts, price and tax adjustments, tight monetary
policy and further
deregulation and privatization. Population The Mexican
population is composed
of three main groups: the people of Spanish descent, the
Native
Americans, and the people of mixed Spanish and Native American ancestry,
or
mestizos. Of these groups, the mestizos are by far the largest,
constituting
about 55 percent of the population. The Native Americans total
about 30 percent.
The population of Mexico is 90,419,606. The population
density in 1990 was 119
people per square mile with about 73 percent of
Mexicans living in urban areas.
(Encarta, "Mexico") Political Divisions
Mexico consists of 32
administrative divisions—31 states and the Distrito
Federal (federal
district), which is the seat of the federal administration.
The national
executive power is vested in a president, who must be
Mexican-born and the child
of a native Mexican. The president is popularly
elected for a six-year term and
may never be reelected. The president
appoints the cabinet, which is confirmed
by the congress. The legislative
power in Mexico consists of the senate and the
chamber of deputies. The upper
house is a senate, with 64 members popularly
elected for six years. Two
senators are elected from each state and from the
federal district. The lower
house is a chamber of deputies, made up of 500
members elected to 3-year
terms. Three hundred are elected from single-member
districts based on
population, and the remainder are elected according to a
system of
proportional representation. Senators and deputies may not serve
two
consecutive terms. The highest tribunal in Mexico is the supreme court
of
justice, made up of 21 full-time members appointed by the country's
president
with the consent of the senate. Other important judicial bodies in
Mexico
include circuit courts and district courts. The chief executive of
each state is
a governor, popularly elected to a six-year term. The governor
of the federal
district is appointed by the president of Mexico. Legislative
power in the
states is vested in chambers of deputies, whose members are
elected to
three-year terms. The Partido Revolucionario Institucional
(Institutional
Revolutionary Party; PRI) is the largest and most
important political party in
Mexico. It was formed in 1928 as the Partido
Nacional Revolucionario (National
Revolutionary Party) and has been
continuously in power since that time,
although under several different
names. Opposition parties exist, but not until
the 1980's did they represent
a serious challenge to the PRI. Chief among them
is the Partido de Acción
Nacional (National Action Party; PAN), a conservative,
pro-Catholic group
drawn primarily from the middle class and the Frente Democrático
Nacional
(National Democratic Front, FDN), a coalition of leftist opposition
groups.
(Encarta, "Mexico") Culture Mexican culture is a rich, complex
blend of
Native American, Spanish, and American traditions. Rural areas are
populated
by Native Americans, descendants of the highly developed societies of
the
Maya, Aztec, and Toltecs, and by Spanish and mestizo farmers and
laborers.
Each of these heritages has enriched the regional culture. In
the cities, both
European and North American influences are evident. Most
contemporary Mexican
artists are striving to produce identifiably Mexican
work that blends Spanish,
Native American, and modern European styles.
(Encarta, "Mexico")
Economy Mexico reflects a shift from a
primary-production economy, based on
mining and agriculture, to a
semi-industrialized nation. Economic achievements
are the result of a
vigorous private enterprise sector and government policies
that have made
economic growth a predominant objective. Traditionally, the
government also
emphasized Mexicanization of industry, and local control of
companies engaged
in mining, fishing, transportation, and exploitation of
forests was required
by law. More recently, however, foreign investment in new
enterprises has
been actively encouraged, and government controls on some
sectors of the
economy have been loosened. Mexico's gross domestic product (GDP)
increased
by 6.5 percent annually during the period from 1965 to 1980 but only
0.5
percent yearly during 1980 to 1988. Weak oil prices, rising inflation,
a
foreign debt of more than $100 billion, and worsening budget
deficits
exacerbated the nation's economic problems in the mid-1980s,
although the
economic picture brightened toward the end of the decade. In
1992 the GDP was
$324.29 billion. The annual budget included $107 billion in
revenue and $122
billion in expenditure. (Encarta, "Mexico") II. NAFTA In
December of
1992, Presidents Salinas and Bush and Prime Minister Brian
Mulroney of Canada
signed the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).
The Mexican legislature
ratified NAFTA in 1993 and the treaty went into
effect on January 1, 1994,
creating the largest free-trade zone in the world.
Creating a North American
free-trade zone and privatizing state-owned
industry was part of a plan by the
Salinas government to revive the
Mexican economy. By 1993, the Mexican
government had sold 80 percent of its
industries to private investors for about
$21 billion and had reduced
inflation from 150 percent to 10 percent. In
November 1993, President
Clinton predicted that if the trade agreement passes,
American companies
will add another 200,000 jobs by 1995. NAFTA's promoters
predicted that by
the end of 1995 the U.S. would enjoy a $9 billion trade
surplus with Mexico.
The reality is that the post-NAFTA surge in imports from
Mexico has
resulted in an $8.6 billion trade deficit with Mexico for just the
first six
months of 1995. By adding the Mexican trade deficit numbers to the
current
deficit with Canada, the overall U.S. NAFTA trade deficit for the first
six
months of 1995 alone is $16.7 billion. Using the Department of Commerce
trade
data in the formula used by NAFTA proponents used to predict job gains,
the
real accumulated NAFTA trade deficit would translate into over three
hundred
thousand U.S. jobs lost. A number of companies that specifically
promised to
create new jobs actually laid workers off because of the
agreement. Allied
Signal, General Electric, Mattel, Proctor and Gamble,
Scott Paper and Zenith all
made specific promises to create jobs, and all
have laid off workers because of
NAFTA as certified by the U.S.
Department of Labor's special NAFTA unemployment
assistance program (NAFTA
TAA). As of mid-August 1995, the U.S. Department of
Labor has certified
38,148 workers as having lost their jobs to NAFTA. A total
of 68,482 U.S.
workers have filed to receive NAFTA-related unemployment
assistance through
the NAFTA-TAA program. Despite the job losses, trade
officials said NAFTA
remains a net gainer for U.S. workers. Increased exports to
Mexico and
Canada will support some 3 million U.S. jobs this year, up some
500,000
from two years ago, according to the U.S. Trade Representative's
office.
(Briones) III. Recent Events A. The Chiapas Uprising and the
Zapatistas On
January 1, 1994, a group of Native Americans called the
Zapatista National
Liberation Army (EZLN) captured four towns in the
southern Mexican state of
Chiapas and demanded reforms from the Salinas
government for better treatment
for poor Indians there. They chose to begin
their rebellion to coincide with the
implementation of NAFTA because they
consider it a "death sentence."
They demand bilingual and intercultural
education in their indigenous language
as well as in Spanish. They want
titles and protection of the lands where they
live. Finally, they say that
the governments should ratify the International
Labor Office's (ILO)
resolution 169 on the promotion and protection of the
rights of indigenous
people. The group is named for Emiliano Zapata, a
19th-century Mexican
revolutionary leader and agrarian reformer. The EZLN has
organized itself
among some of the most dispossessed people of the world. Its'
soldiers are
drawn from the forests, mountains and small towns of the region,
both from
the indigenous Mayan population, and from immigrants from Central
and
Northern Mexico. The EZLN soldiers have been subsistence cultivators
and
landless wage-laborers. They have grown and marketed their own export
crops and
have worked on the plantations and ranches of others. A very few
are
intellectuals drawn to the area over a decade ago by their ideals and
hopes. The
EZLN understands how NAFTA opens Mexico to U.S. exports and
imports, and how the
most threatening of these is corn, the basic food crop
of the indigenous
population and an important source of cash income. Already
they are suffering
from low prices for coffee, another cash crop, due to
government's elimination
of financial support for that production. They also
know that export development
means ecological destruction, especially
deforestation. (Marcos) Although
Mexican troops quickly retook most of
the territory held by the rebels and a
cease-fire was called soon afterward,
the rebel group generated momentum for
political reform in Mexico. A
government negotiating team, headed by former
Mexico City mayor Manuel
Camacho Solis, met with rebel leaders and offered them
a 34-point proposed
agreement that included promises of political changes, new
social programs,
land reform, and better standards of living. However, the group
rejected the
plan in June. Subcommandante Marcos is the enigmatic spokesperson
and highest
army commander of the Zapatista National Liberation Army. He is
known for his
well-written press releases filled with wit and sarcasm. He is
always masked
in public, and often smokes a pipe. The government claims to
have
"identified" Marcos as Rafael Sebastian Guillen Vicente, but
Marcos
and the EZLN have denied this. Major Ana Mari'a was the commander of
the
operation for taking the municipal palace of San Cristo'bal for the
Zapatista
National Liberation Army (EZLN). She was 25 years old when she
joined the
Zapatista Army and saw almost the whole process of how it
moved forward. She was
one of the first women who was part of the ranks of
the Army and has risen to
hold the highest rank of any woman in the EZLN.
(Gabriel) This revolt affects
the current exchange rate due to the
uncertainty surrounding this uprising. Many
valuable resources can be found
in the Chiapas region, such as timber, coffee
and oil. Many foreign
industries have reduced or canceled work in the region for
fear of being
caught between the EZLN and government troops. There is much more
fighting
taking place than most American newspapers report. With businesses
reducing
their spending in Mexico, the inflow of U.S. dollars is reduced
which
increases the demand for the dollar in Mexico. This causes the dollar
to
strengthen against the peso. B. The Colosio Assassination On March 23,
1994,
during the Mexican presidential campaign, the PRI's candidate Donaldo
Luis
Colosio Murrieta, was assassinated while campaigning in Tijuana,
Baja
California. Unnamed U.S. intelligence officials have stated that
former Mexican
police commander Fernando de la Sota Rodalleguez, charged in
connection with the
assassination, was a paid informant for the U.S. Central
Intelligence Agency in
Mexico City from 1990 to 1992. De la Sota began
his police career in 1973
working for Mexico's Federal Security Directorate,
and by 1992 he had become
investigations department commander for the federal
attorney general's office.
He was fired that year on suspicion of taking
bribes from alleged drug lord
Rafael Aguilar Guajardo and the CIA dropped
him soon after. De la Sota was
working as the head of the private security
team for Colosio on the day of the
assassination. Federal investigators
arrested De la Sota in February of this
year on charges of giving false and
conflicting testimony about the
assassination. Despite his 20 years'
experience in police work, De la Sota
claimed that the gunshots set off a
diabetic attack which kept him from seeing
what was happening. He was
released on Feb. 28 on a $7,000 bond. At the time of
his arrest, Mexican
officials indicated off the record that De la Sota was
closely connected to
the assassination. Currently two men are under arrest for
the murder: Mario
Aburto Martinez, a factory worker who allegedly shot Colosio
in the head from
the right side, and Othon Cortes Vazquez, who is charged with
shooting the
candidate in the abdomen from the left side. Cortes Vazquez and De
la Sota
knew each other. Cortes Vazquez worked for various PRI officials as a
driver
and messenger, and on the day of the murder he was driving for
Gen.
Domiro Roberto Garcia Reyes, who was in charge of the official
security for
Colosio. One of the videotapes held by the attorney
general's office reportedly
shows De la Sota and another member of the
private security team, Hector Javier
Hernandez Thomassiny, guarding
Colosio's left side. Cortes Vazquez suddenly
"replaced" the two experienced
bodyguards just before he and Aburto
shot the candidate, according to people
who saw the tape. As soon as Colosio
fell, De la Sota and Hernandez
Thomassiny allegedly seized Aburto and let Cortes
Vazquez escape. The
uprising in Chiapas and the murder of presidential candidate
Luis Donaldo
Colosio are two examples of how Mexico's social and civic
institutions are
crumbling under the pressure of drug-related lawlessness and
corruption,
factors that are making Mexico a very dangerous place even for
members of the
ruling elite. Indeed, the same environment of lawlessness and
impunity that
has allowed Mexico's ruling party, known as the PRI, to govern for
over 65
years is now aiding the expansion of the influence of the narcotics
trade.
Federico Reyes Heroles, editor of the monthly magazine Este Pais,
says
bluntly that the killing was a deliberate hit by Mexico's powerful drug
lords.
News reports in the days following the killing included numerous
off-the-record
comments by government officials confirming the suspicion that
the killing was a
hit organized and paid for by drug traffickers. Another
prominent Mexico City
editor, speaking off-the record, says that the Mexican
politicians are being
killed off because of a power struggle related to money
and drugs, not over
questions such as democracy and human rights. Beyond the
death of Colosio,
however, another explanation exists: the need to maintain
the appearance of
"fighting drugs" to satisfy Washington. Eduardo Valle,
former aide to
Interior Minister Jorge Carpizo, has given the Mexican
government documents and
testimony allegedly linking government officials and
drug traffickers to the
assassination of presidential candidate Colosio. The
former official, who is
known as "the owl", worked as a senior official
directing Mexico's
anti-drug efforts. He says that Colosio was murdered by
members of the Grupo del
Gulfo cocaine cartel, with the involvement of
Colosio campaign officials close
to Communications and Transportation
Minister Emilio Gamboa. Included with the
documents provided by Valle during
testimony given at the Mexican consulate in
Washington was a DEA report
about telephone calls last December by cartel
members to the offices of the
presidency. (Whalen, p.2-4) Assassinations affect
exchange rates due to the
uncertainty that is caused. Many investors flee from
the market if there is a
risk of losing their investments. Without these
investments, the economy
begins to tumble downward due to increased unemployment
and a lower demand
for goods. This may cause the dollar to strengthen as the
people move away
from the uncertain peso. IV. Exchange rate See graph
attachment. V.
Devaluation of the Peso Due to the weaken peso, caused by
constant printing
of money and high inflation, Mexican investors took close to
$11 billion
dollars out of Mexico in a few days in December 1994. The political
turmoil
from regional insurrection to a string of assassinations and
disrupted
elections help cause the collapse of the peso, requiring a $20
billion bailout
from the U.S. Treasury. The International Monetary Fund has
pledged another
$17.8 billion, while the central banks of other
industrialized nations, acting
through the Bank of International Settlements,
are obligated for an additional
$10 billion. (Banda) VI.
Advantages/Disadvantages of Importing/Exporting Goods A
Houston company
exporting to Mexico will find some difficulty selling its goods
in a country
were the peso is weak against the U.S. dollar. The Mexican
businesses will be
forced to buy only the necessities due to the unfavorable
exchange rate.
However, on the positive side, if the Mexican businesses expect
that the peso
will devalue further, it may decide to purchase big ticket items
now in hopes
of beating any further devaluation. A Mexican company whose primary
business
is exporting Mexican made products to the U.S. will enjoy the weak
peso,
strong dollar economy. Imports from Mexico into the U.S. has resulted in
an
$8.6 billion trade deficit with Mexico for the first six months of
1995.
While the Mexican company is paying for its labor and overhead with
weakened
pesos, it is receiving a stronger U.S. dollar for its goods. The
company can
request payment in the stronger U.S. dollar and invest them into
various
financial instruments until the peso can rebound or is needed to
continue
operations. VII. Opinion The signs are growing ever stronger that
Mexico's
determined adherence to its economic austerity program is setting
the stage for
a remarkably solid and sustainable recovery from the recent
financial crisis.
The country's Bolsa stock index has rebounded more than
60 percent from its
February low, the peso has stabilized, compared to
what it has done in the past,
and Mexico's recent $500 million bond offering
was oversubscribed by $1.3
billion. Mexico is making clear progress in
improving its debt structure, and
strong export growth is producing a
dramatic correction in Mexico's current
account imbalance. Mexico has a
balanced federal budget and a largely privatized
economy. The North American
Free Trade Agreement and Mexico's other trade pacts
are continuing to play a
significant role in creating new opportunities for
Mexican businesses. A
number of U.S. companies have chosen to create
co-production partnerships
with Mexican firms over geographically more remote
partners in Asia because
of Mexico's proximity, modern infrastructure and
industrious workforce. NAFTA
is playing a key role in encouraging such
partnerships. By reducing North
American trade barriers, NAFTA is enabling firms
which might otherwise
manufacture in Asia to work with Mexican partners instead.
The growth of
business partnerships, along with Mexico's ongoing economic,
legal, judicial
and political reforms helps to explain Mexico's ability to
attract long-term
investment. However, the peso is currently in a tailspin
against the dollar
due mostly to currency speculators. If the Mexican government
can stay with
its current plans and programs with minor adjustment, the peso
should
rebound. The bottom line from Mexico is that its continued commitment to
open
markets and economic integration is paying off and will be reflected in
the
overall strengthening of the Mexican peso against the U.S. dollar in the
long
run.
Bibliography
Banda, M., (1995, September 5).
Economic, Political Crisis Shadows Zedillo's
First National Address.
Associated Press, Internet (WWW),
http://www1.trib.com/NEWS/APwire.html.
Briones, J., (1995, September 4). NAFTA's
Broken Promises. Public Citizen
Publication, p.10. Dean, D., (1995, September
20). Mexico Doing Right
Things to Turn Itself Around. Houston Chronicle, Sec. A,
p.29. Gabriel, S.,
Mount Holyoke College. Internet (WWW), Newsgroup:
soc.culture.mexican.
Marcos, Subcomandante Insurgente, (1995, August 30). Sub.
Marcos
Communique to the National Conference for Peace. La Jornada, Internet
(WWW),
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