Economic Naturalist
We always associate the month of December with
flood season especially in Kelantan
& Terengganu. December also normally
become a vacation period for most of
Malaysians as this time of the year
coincide with school holiday and people are
finishing off their annual leaves
to be with their family. You might be
wondering what December has to do with
the economy? How about calendar? People
are normally looking for calendar for
incoming year in December. Many companies
in Malaysia are producing calendars
to be given out to their customers, official
contacts and suppliers. We can
find so many types of calendars form small and
simple to big and colorful and
quite expensive too. Why companies are producing
calendars? Why they have to
incur an additional unnecessary expenses? Is it part
of the advertising
expenses? What are the expected benefits? They do not sell
the calendars!! Of
course, they are not going to get some income out of this
activity. These are
some of the issues that we are trying to explore and answer.
We will
relate the issues into some of the economic theories. There must be
some
economic reasons for companies to give out complementary calendars every
end of
the year. Theory of the Firm A firm is an organization that combines
resources
for the purposes of producing goods and/or services for sale. Firms
exist
because it would be very inefficient and costly for entrepreneurs to
enter into
and enforce contracts with workers and owners of capital, land,
and other
resources for each separate step of the production and process.
Calendars play
some roles in any firm. Generally, firms produce calendars as
part of their
promotion for its products and the company itself. Normally,
the calendars are
printed with company's particulars such as company's logo,
name, address, and
contact numbers. It also has the information and pictures
of products the
company produce. The pictures are normally in full color and
very attractive.
These elements are very important in projection the good
image and can be one of
the marketing strategies for the company. The
calendars will play a role as part
of the company's advertising effort in
promoting its products and services.
Normally, calendars are given out as
a complimentary to company's customer,
suppliers, business contacts and
government authorities. Sometime, people need
to buy something from the store
in order to get a calendar. Believe it or not
that there are people who buy
goods and products just to get the calendar. These
consumers are influenced
by the year end discounts and the just for the sake of
calendar that the
company offers. But as far as the company is concerned, the
above will
increase public awareness of its company and products which will
later have a
positive effect on its sale and profit. Of course, the company will
incur
some additional expenses in producing calendars in short term but they
will
gain in long term. As such, companies are willing to sacrifice
short-term
profits for the sake of increasing future or long-term profits.
The same goes to
other expenditures such as research & development, and
new capital
equipment. These require a very high initial investment and the
return may be
realized in five or ten years. Originally, the theory of the
firm was based on
the assumption that the goal or objective of the firm was
to maximize current or
short-term profits but, the theory of the firm now
postulates that the primary
goal or objective of the firm is to maximize the
wealth or value of the firm.
This is given by the present value of all
expected future profits of the firm.
Future profits must be discounted to
the present because a ringgit of profit in
the future is worth less than a
ringgit of profit today. As such, companies are
willing to invest in
producing calendars as they know that they will gain profit
in long-term.
Talking about, there are two types of profit which are business
profit and
economic profit. Business profit refers to the revenue of the firm
minus the
explicit cost or accounting cost of the firm. The explicits cost are
the
actual out-of-pocket expenditures of the firm to purchase or hire the
inputs
it requires in production. While the economic profit equals the
revenue of the
firm minus its explicit costs and implicit costs. Implicit
cost refers to the
value of the inputs owned and used by the firm in its own
production processes.
Law of Demand As mentioned earlier, calendars act
as a part of advertising
channel for a company. With the right combination of
distribution strategies,
design, and concepts; the message on the company and
its products will reach the
consumer and it stick to their mind as calendars
are hanged in our living room
for the whole year. In long term, the demand
for the product is increased. It is
shown by a rightward shift of the demand
curve for a product. Before, we explain
further on shift of the demand curve,
let's look at the basic law of the demand.
The law says that as the price
of the commodity increase, the quantity demanded
decrease and as the price of
the commodity decrease, the quantity demanded
increase. This inverse
relationship between the price of the commodity and the
quantity demanded per
time period is referred to as the law of demand. The
demand function faced by
the firm is the relationship that identifies the
determinants of the demands
for a commodity faced by the firm. These include the
price of the commodity,
consumer's income, the price of related commodities,
tastes, advertising, and
other forces that are specific to the particular
industry and firm. The
consumer demand theory postulates that the quantity
demanded of a commodity
per time period increase with the reduction in its
price, increase in
consumer's income, increase in the price of substitutes and a
reduction in
the price of complementary commodities, and increased taste for
the
commodity. On the other hand, the quantity demanded declines with the
opposite
changes. Now, let's go back the issue of rightward move of a demand
curve. If
any of the things held constant in drawing the demand curve change,
the entire
demand curve shifts to the right so that the consumer demands more
of the
commodity at each commodity price if the consumer's income increase,
the price
of substitute commodity increase or the price of a complementary
commodity
falls, and if the consumer's taste for the commodity increase. An
increase in
expenditures on calendars could also lead to an increase in
demand of the
product of the company and contribute to the rightward shift of
the demand
curve. Regression Analysis In other words, we could say that the
expenditures on
calendars could also contribute to the increase in the demand
of the product or
there is a relationship between the ringgit spent on
calendars and the quantity
demanded of particular product. How significance
is the relationship is really
depending on some formula and data to come up
with t value of the hypothesis.
The above can be shown as a regression
model as follows :- Q = a - b1 P + b2Y +
b3S + b4T + b5C (5.12) (3.24) (4.56)
(3.96) (4.25) R2 = 0.85 The t values which
are in parentheses below the
estimated slope coefficient and the R2 value are
the assumption figures for
the purpose of discussion. The value of a is the
vertical intercept and b1,
b2, b3, b4, and b5 are the values of the slope
coefficient of the regression
line. The above values can be determined by using
some formulas and past data
on Q, P, Y, T, and C. Where Q = Quantity product
demanded P = Price of the
product Y = Consumer's income S = Price of
substitute's product T =
Consumer's taste A = Expenditure on calendars From the
above regression
model, we can see that the quantity demanded (Q) will increase
as the is a
reduction in price of the product (P), increase in consumer's income
(Y),
increase in price of substitute's product, increase in consumer's taste,
and
increase in expenditure on calendars. Using the given t values, we
can
compare it with table t values at certain percentage level, normally at
5
percent level of significance. If the given (calculated) t values are
higher
than the table values, we can accept the hypothesis that there are
statistically
some significant relationship between Q (quantity demanded) and
other
determinants of Q which are P, Y, S, T, and A. The coefficient of
determination
(R2) of 0.85 shows that 85 percent of the total variation or
dispersion in
quantity demanded (Q) is explained by the variation in the
independents
variables which are the price of product, consumer's income,
price of
substitute's product, consumer's taste, and the total expenditure on
calendars.
Supply and Production Theory We have mentioned on the
relationship on the total
spending on calendars which have a positive effect
on the quantity demanded for
a particular product. The more amount put on
producing the calendar, we could
expect that there will be more product
demanded. As a result, company should
response by producing more of their
product. There will be more products
supplied to the market. Theory of supply
shows the amount of commodity that
sellers would offer for sale at various
prices. As the price of the product
increased, the quantity supplied
increase. With the increase in efficiency,
reduction in resource price, and
improvement in technology could cause the
supply curve to the right.